Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.