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La Liga | Gameweek 3
Sep 27, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
CV

Real Valladolid
1 - 1
Celta Vigo

Guardiola (66' pen.)
Guardiola (61'), Bruno (80'), Sanchez (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aspas (44')
Mor (25'), Beltran (41'), Mallo (65'), Aspas (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawCelta Vigo
30.51%29.54%39.94%
Both teams to score 42.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.8%64.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.67%83.33%
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.15%37.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.38%74.62%
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.54%31.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.16%67.83%
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 30.5%
    Celta Vigo 39.93%
    Draw 29.53%
Real ValladolidDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 11.56%
2-1 @ 6.5%
2-0 @ 5.62%
3-1 @ 2.11%
3-0 @ 1.82%
3-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 30.5%
1-1 @ 13.37%
0-0 @ 11.9%
2-2 @ 3.76%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.53%
0-1 @ 13.76%
0-2 @ 7.96%
1-2 @ 7.74%
0-3 @ 3.07%
1-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 39.93%


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