Four of the last six La Liga meetings between these two teams have finished level, and we can see a low-scoring draw in this match. Real Valladolid's recent form has been impressive, but Osasuna usually do not give much away, so we are predicting a stalemate on Sunday evening.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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