With neither side exactly free-scoring, it is hard to envisage a classic encounter unfolding at Estadio Manuel Martinez Valero on Sunday afternoon.
However, the visitors' defence has proven far more efficient than struggling Elche's this season, and we expect a marginal Osasuna victory as a result.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Elche had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
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