SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Real Valladolid |
36.1% ( 0.88) | 26.53% ( 0) | 37.38% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 52.45% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.57% ( 0.05) | 52.43% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.89% ( 0.04) | 74.1% ( -0.04) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.05% ( 0.56) | 27.95% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.42% ( 0.7) | 63.58% ( -0.7) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.8% ( -0.48) | 27.2% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.39% ( -0.62) | 62.61% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.83% Total : 36.1% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.12% Total : 37.38% |
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