Valencia would have earmarked his match as the perfect chance to secure three points, but they have only won once away from home in the league this season, so it is difficult to back them with any real confidence. Real Valladolid have actually drawn just once in front of their own fans in the league this term, but we are expecting the points to be shared on Sunday afternoon.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.04) 
