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La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
CL

Valencia
2 - 0
Cadiz

Gaya (4'), Duro (26')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pires (68'), Fali (71'), Sobrino (90+2')
Navarro (22')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Valencia
Saturday, October 7 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 0-1 Girona
Saturday, October 7 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 1-0 Cadiz

Both sides will be missing a number of important players for this match, and it would not be a surprise to see a draw on Monday night. Goals have been an issue for both sides this term, but we believe that Valencia will be able to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 21.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawCadiz
53.69% (-0.301 -0.3) 25.17% (0.293 0.29) 21.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 46.94% (-0.82 -0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.07% (-1.091 -1.09)54.92% (1.084 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.79% (-0.912 -0.91)76.21% (0.905 0.91)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54% (-0.554 -0.55)20.46% (0.548 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.08% (-0.884 -0.88)52.92% (0.879 0.88)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.01% (-0.621 -0.62)40.98% (0.61499999999999 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.46% (-0.559 -0.56)77.54% (0.55200000000001 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 53.68%
    Cadiz 21.14%
    Draw 25.16%
ValenciaDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 13.3% (0.33 0.33)
2-0 @ 10.55% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.58% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.22% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 53.68%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.38% (0.348 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.188 0.19)
1-2 @ 5.29% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 21.14%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Valencia
Saturday, October 7 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 3-0 Valencia
Sunday, October 1 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 0-1 Real Sociedad
Wednesday, September 27 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 2-2 Valencia
Saturday, September 23 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 3-0 Atletico
Saturday, September 16 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Valencia
Saturday, September 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 0-1 Girona
Saturday, October 7 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 3-2 Cadiz
Sunday, October 1 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 0-0 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, September 27 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 1-1 Cadiz
Sunday, September 24 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Cadiz
Saturday, September 16 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 3-1 Villarreal
Friday, September 1 at 6.30pm in La Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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