Having won two of their opening three away matches, Rayo will be hoping to clinch maximum points, but we think that they may have to be content with a draw against a Cadiz side that are unbeaten in their last six La Liga home games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Cadiz	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
32.51% ( -0.82)	28.85% ( 0.07)	38.64% ( 0.75)

Both teams to score 44.98% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.45% (

-0.34)

61.55% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.6% (

-0.26)

81.4% (

0.26)

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.08% (

-0.76)

34.92% (

0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.34% (

-0.81)

71.66% (

0.81)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.11% (

0.28)

30.89% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.82% (

0.33)

67.17% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Cadiz 32.5%

Rayo Vallecano 38.64%

Draw 28.84%

Cadiz	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.17% Total : 32.5%	1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.84%	0-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.64%