Valencia played some excellent football against Atletico last time out, and we are backing Los Che to shade a close contest on Saturday. Almeria have a talented squad, but they are finding it difficult to get going at the moment, which could lead to another defeat this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
0.53) 
-0.67) 
