This is a test of Girona's credentials following the defeat to Real Madrid, but Cadiz are not a soft touch, and we are actually backing a draw here. Girona only picked up one point from their two league games with Cadiz last season and might have to accept a share of the spoils in Saturday's encounter.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Girona had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
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