There has not been a La Liga draw between these two sides since September 2018, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared here. Both managers will be slightly cautious considering their results last time out, and a tense affair at Mestalla could potentially finish 1-1. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Celta Vigo
43.32% ( -1)	27.73% ( 0.51)	28.96% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 46.79% (

-1.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.34% (

-1.63)

58.66% (

1.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.79% (

-1.28)

79.2% (

1.28)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.14% (

-1.26)

26.85% (

1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.84% (

-1.69)

62.16% (

1.69)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.97% (

-0.49)

36.02% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.19% (

-0.5)

72.8% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Valencia 43.31%

Celta Vigo 28.96%

Draw 27.72%

Valencia	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.71% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.95% Total : 43.31%	1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.72%	0-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.95% Total : 28.96%