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Tuesday, December 24
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La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2022 at 9pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
AM

Valencia
0 - 1
Atletico


Maranhao (18'), Gattuso (26'), Correia (42'), Comert (76'), Perez (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Griezmann (66')
Niguez (14'), Simeone (26'), Mandava (27'), Felix (55')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Valencia 1-2 Atletico Madrid

If their opening double-header is anything to go by, these two clubs could be unpredictable as the season progresses. Valencia will fancy their chances of causing the upset in this fixture, but we cannot go against Atletico at this stage with Simeone's men possibly coming through by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
ValenciaDrawAtletico Madrid
23.48% (-0.448 -0.45) 26.62% (-0.304 -0.3) 49.9% (0.752 0.75)
Both teams to score 45.69% (0.379 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.01% (0.721 0.72)57.99% (-0.72300000000001 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.32% (0.564 0.56)78.68% (-0.56700000000001 -0.57)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.6% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)40.39% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.99% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)77.01% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.66% (0.658 0.66)23.34% (-0.66 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.69% (0.948 0.95)57.31% (-0.951 -0.95)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 23.48%
    Atletico Madrid 49.89%
    Draw 26.61%
ValenciaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.55% (-0.242 -0.24)
2-1 @ 5.64% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.87% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-1 @ 1.7% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.24% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.17% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 23.48%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 9.43% (-0.262 -0.26)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 13.71% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-2 @ 9.98% (0.111 0.11)
1-2 @ 9.05% (0.097 0.1)
0-3 @ 4.84% (0.145 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.39% (0.13 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.058 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.76% (0.086 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 49.89%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Valencia
Sunday, August 21 at 4.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Girona
Sunday, August 14 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Valencia
Saturday, July 30 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Dortmund 1-3 Valencia
Monday, July 18 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, May 21 at 4.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Espanyol 1-1 Valencia
Saturday, May 14 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 0-2 Villarreal
Sunday, August 21 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 0-3 Atletico
Monday, August 15 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Juventus 0-4 Atletico
Sunday, August 7 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cadiz 1-4 Atletico
Thursday, August 4 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Man Utd 1-0 Atletico
Saturday, July 30 at 12.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Numancia 0-4 Atletico
Wednesday, July 27 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1


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