While Athletic will fancy their chances of getting back on track at the weekend, we cannot dismiss Valencia who feel rejuvenated under Gattuso. With that in mind, the visitors could edge this contest by the odd goal in three, keeping the momentum at the Mestalla going for another week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 16.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Valencia
58.18% ( 0.1)	25.13% ( -0.05)	16.69% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 40.34% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.06% (

0.1)

59.94% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.81% (

0.07)

80.19% (

-0.07)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.34% (

0.08)

20.65% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.77% (

0.12)

53.23% (

-0.12)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.84% (

-0.01)

49.16% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.93% (

-0)

84.07% (

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 58.16%

Valencia 16.69%

Draw 25.13%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 16.01% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.62% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 58.16%	1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.43% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 16.69%