Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 52.85%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Valencia in this match.