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La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 19, 2021 at 8pm UK
Mestalla
RM

Valencia
1 - 2
Real Madrid

Duro (66')
Paulista (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Junior (86'), Benzema (88')
Casemiro (45+4'), Nacho (56'), Rodrygo (81'), Junior (90+2'), Camavinga (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 14.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.37%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawReal Madrid
14.8%21.6%63.59%
Both teams to score 45.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.81%50.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.85%72.15%
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.12%45.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.37%81.63%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.85%15.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.26%43.74%
Score Analysis
    Valencia 14.8%
    Real Madrid 63.58%
    Draw 21.6%
ValenciaDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 5.42%
2-1 @ 3.98%
2-0 @ 2.11%
3-1 @ 1.03%
3-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 14.8%
1-1 @ 10.22%
0-0 @ 6.95%
2-2 @ 3.76%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 21.6%
0-1 @ 13.11%
0-2 @ 12.37%
1-2 @ 9.64%
0-3 @ 7.79%
1-3 @ 6.07%
0-4 @ 3.67%
1-4 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.36%
0-5 @ 1.39%
2-4 @ 1.12%
1-5 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 63.58%

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