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Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2021 at 8pm UK
San Siro
RM

Inter Milan
0 - 1
Real Madrid


Martinez (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodrygo (89')
Alaba (60')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.95%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawReal Madrid
36.86%23.69%39.45%
Both teams to score 62.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.65%39.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.31%61.69%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51%21.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.47%54.52%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.76%20.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.44%52.56%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 36.86%
    Real Madrid 39.45%
    Draw 23.69%
Inter MilanDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 8.21%
1-0 @ 6.69%
2-0 @ 5.14%
3-1 @ 4.21%
3-2 @ 3.36%
3-0 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 1.62%
4-2 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 36.86%
1-1 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 6.56%
0-0 @ 4.35%
3-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 8.53%
0-1 @ 6.95%
0-2 @ 5.55%
1-3 @ 4.55%
2-3 @ 3.5%
0-3 @ 2.96%
1-4 @ 1.82%
2-4 @ 1.4%
0-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 39.45%

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