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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 22, 2020 at 9pm UK
Estadio El Madrigal
AB

Villarreal
1 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Pino (74')
Moreno (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Williams (19')
Berenguer (71')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 21.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
VillarrealDrawAthletic Bilbao
54.17%24.48%21.35%
Both teams to score 49.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.92%52.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2%73.8%
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.85%19.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.19%50.81%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.86%39.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.15%75.85%
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 54.15%
    Athletic Bilbao 21.35%
    Draw 24.48%
VillarrealDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 12.38%
2-0 @ 10.23%
2-1 @ 9.6%
3-0 @ 5.64%
3-1 @ 5.29%
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-0 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 2.19%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 54.15%
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 7.5%
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 24.48%
0-1 @ 7.03%
1-2 @ 5.45%
0-2 @ 3.3%
1-3 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.41%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 21.35%

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