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La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de la CerĂ¡mica
CV

Villarreal
3 - 1
Celta Vigo

Jackson (2', 12'), Terrats (70')
Capoue (22')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Strand Larsen (29')
Seferovic (25'), Vazquez (45+1'), Nunez (49'), Tapia (54'), Carvalhal (58')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 4-2 Espanyol
Thursday, April 27 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Elche
Wednesday, April 26 at 9pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-1 Celta Vigo

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, as Villarreal look to continue their push for the top four. There is no real pressure on Celta, which could work in the away team's favour on Sunday, but we are still expecting the Yellow Submarine to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-2 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawCelta Vigo
56.19% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 22.37% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 21.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 55.95% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.83% (-0.32 -0.32)43.16% (0.319 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.43% (-0.315 -0.31)65.56% (0.315 0.31)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.8% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)15.19% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.18% (-0.248 -0.25)43.82% (0.246 0.25)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.97% (-0.18299999999999 -0.18)34.02% (0.183 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.29% (-0.2 -0.2)70.7% (0.19799999999999 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 56.19%
    Celta Vigo 21.43%
    Draw 22.37%
VillarrealDrawCelta Vigo
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.74% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 9.18% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.22% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.72% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 56.19%
1-1 @ 10.5% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.17% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.37%
1-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.57% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 3% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 21.43%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Villarreal 4-2 Espanyol
Thursday, April 27 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 2-1 Villarreal
Sunday, April 23 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 1-2 Valladolid
Saturday, April 15 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-3 Villarreal
Saturday, April 8 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 2-0 Real Sociedad
Sunday, April 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 0-3 Villarreal
Sunday, March 19 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Elche
Wednesday, April 26 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, April 22 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-1 Mallorca
Monday, April 17 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 2-2 Celta Vigo
Friday, April 7 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-2 Almeria
Sunday, April 2 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Espanyol 1-3 Celta Vigo
Saturday, March 18 at 5.30pm in La Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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