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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 22, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
CV

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Celta Vigo

Asensio (42'), Militao (48')
Ceballos (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vazquez (19'), Galan (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 0-2 Real Madrid
Tuesday, April 18 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-1 Mallorca
Monday, April 17 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 1-0 Celta Vigo

Celta will certainly be the fresher of the two teams entering this match, and it could be a close affair at Bernabeu, with Ancelotti likely to make a number of changes to his side. However, Real Madrid should still be able to navigate their way to their 20th league victory of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 16.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real MadridDrawCelta Vigo
64.18% (-0.0089999999999861 -0.01) 19.59% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 16.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.91% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.38% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)38.62% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.08% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)60.92% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.62% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)11.38% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.89% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)36.11% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.09% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)36.91% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.3% (-0.058 -0.06)73.7% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 64.18%
    Celta Vigo 16.23%
    Draw 19.59%
Real MadridDrawCelta Vigo
2-0 @ 9.92% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.13% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 7.16% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.9% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 3.89% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.7% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.69% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 64.18%
1-1 @ 9.1% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.2% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.59%
1-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 4.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 16.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Chelsea 0-2 Real Madrid
Tuesday, April 18 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Cadiz 0-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, April 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Chelsea
Wednesday, April 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-3 Villarreal
Saturday, April 8 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 0-4 Real Madrid
Wednesday, April 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Real Madrid 6-0 Valladolid
Sunday, April 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-1 Mallorca
Monday, April 17 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 2-2 Celta Vigo
Friday, April 7 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-2 Almeria
Sunday, April 2 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Espanyol 1-3 Celta Vigo
Saturday, March 18 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, March 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 0-0 Celta Vigo
Monday, March 6 at 8pm in La Liga


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