SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 16.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
64.18% ( -0.01) | 19.59% ( 0.02) | 16.23% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.91% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.38% ( -0.08) | 38.62% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.08% ( -0.09) | 60.92% ( 0.09) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.62% ( -0.03) | 11.38% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.89% ( -0.05) | 36.11% ( 0.06) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.09% ( -0.06) | 36.91% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.3% ( -0.06) | 73.7% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 2-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 7.19% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.9% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.7% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.2% Total : 64.18% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.59% | 1-2 @ 4.53% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 16.23% |
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