SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Villarreal |
32.89% ( 0.47) | 25.4% ( 0.02) | 41.71% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 55.61% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.88% ( 0.03) | 48.12% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.72% ( 0.03) | 70.28% ( -0.03) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.16% ( 0.32) | 27.83% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.57% ( 0.4) | 63.43% ( -0.4) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.06% ( -0.23) | 22.94% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.28% ( -0.33) | 56.71% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.89% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 41.71% |
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