Ancelotti will certainly be thinking about next week's trip to Chelsea, with Real Madrid so far behind when it comes to the top of the La Liga table. Los Blancos were excellent against Barcelona on Wednesday, but it would not be a surprise to see them drop some points against an impressive Villarreal outfit on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Villarreal win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
-0.12) 
0.05) 
