Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 50.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 23.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
