SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 49.9%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bohemians | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
49.9% ( 0.02) | 24.75% ( -0) | 25.35% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.96% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.62% ( -0) | 49.38% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.57% ( -0) | 71.42% ( 0) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.19% ( 0.01) | 19.81% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.12% ( 0.01) | 51.88% ( -0.01) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.04% ( -0.02) | 33.95% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.37% ( -0.02) | 70.63% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bohemians | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.76% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.87% Total : 49.89% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0)3-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.26% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 25.35% |
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