SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bohemians | Draw | Dundalk |
45.55% ( 0.17) | 26.73% ( -0.05) | 27.71% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 48.88% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.36% ( 0.12) | 55.64% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.2% ( 0.1) | 76.79% ( -0.1) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.64% ( 0.14) | 24.36% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.24% ( 0.19) | 58.76% ( -0.19) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.61% ( -0.03) | 35.38% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.85% ( -0.04) | 72.14% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bohemians | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 12.17% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 45.55% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 27.71% |
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