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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Dundalk |
46.77% ( -0.01) | 25.96% ( 0.02) | 27.27% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.86% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.08% ( -0.09) | 52.91% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.47% ( -0.08) | 74.52% ( 0.08) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.39% ( -0.04) | 22.61% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.78% ( -0.07) | 56.22% ( 0.07) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.72% ( -0.06) | 34.28% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.01% ( -0.07) | 70.98% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 46.77% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 27.27% |
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