SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 26 | 4 | 35 |
| 6 | Bohemians | 26 | 0 | 33 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 25 | -7 | 32 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Derry City | 26 | 18 | 46 |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 26 | 13 | 42 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 26 | 4 | 35 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 36.39%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 1-0 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bohemians | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
35.18% ( -0.01) | 28.44% ( -0.03) | 36.39% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.49% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.15% ( 0.11) | 59.85% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.88% ( 0.08) | 80.12% ( -0.08) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.8% ( 0.05) | 32.2% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.31% ( 0.06) | 68.69% ( -0.05) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.58% ( 0.08) | 31.43% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.2% ( 0.09) | 67.81% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bohemians | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.46% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.17% | 1-1 @ 13.27% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.43% | 0-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.78% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 36.38% |
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