SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Bohemians |
36.29% ( 0.31) | 26.93% ( -0.1) | 36.77% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 51.13% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.9% ( 0.43) | 54.1% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.47% ( 0.36) | 75.52% ( -0.35) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.36% ( 0.39) | 28.64% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.55% ( 0.49) | 64.44% ( -0.49) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.65% ( 0.09) | 28.35% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.91% ( 0.11) | 64.09% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Bohemians |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.29% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 36.77% |
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