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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
29.61% ( 0.09) | 26.91% ( 0.03) | 43.47% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 49.46% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.57% ( -0.06) | 55.42% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.38% ( -0.05) | 76.62% ( 0.05) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.2% ( 0.04) | 33.8% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.54% ( 0.04) | 70.46% ( -0.04) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.71% ( -0.09) | 25.29% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.94% ( -0.12) | 60.06% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shelbourne | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 29.61% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0)Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 11.75% 1-2 @ 8.76% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 43.48% |
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