SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 51.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 23.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bohemians | Draw | Derry City |
51.71% ( -0) | 25.28% | 23.01% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 48.92% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.5% ( 0) | 53.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.98% ( 0) | 75.01% |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% | 20.7% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.7% | 53.3% ( 0) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.69% ( 0) | 38.31% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.93% ( 0) | 75.06% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bohemians | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 12.48% 2-0 @ 9.84% 2-1 @ 9.44% 3-0 @ 5.17% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.96% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-0 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.95% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.52% Total : 51.7% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 7.93% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.65% 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.45% 0-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.55% Total : 23.01% |
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