SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cork City win with a probability of 46.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 25.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cork City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cork City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cork City | Draw | Dundalk |
46.74% ( 0.03) | 27.38% ( 0.08) | 25.88% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 45.77% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.02% ( -0.33) | 58.98% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.54% ( -0.25) | 79.45% ( 0.25) |
| Cork City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.73% ( -0.13) | 25.27% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.97% ( -0.18) | 60.03% ( 0.18) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.25% ( -0.28) | 38.75% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.51% ( -0.26) | 75.48% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cork City | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 13.46% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 46.73% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.52% Total : 25.88% |
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