SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 59.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 17.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Shelbourne |
59.03% ( 0.67) | 23.55% ( -0.34) | 17.41% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 45.7% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.53% ( 0.78) | 53.46% ( -0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.01% ( 0.66) | 74.99% ( -0.66) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.15% ( 0.53) | 17.85% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.39% ( 0.92) | 48.6% ( -0.92) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.63% ( 0.05) | 44.37% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.57% ( 0.04) | 80.42% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | Shelbourne |
| 1-0 @ 13.64% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.36% Total : 59.02% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.66% Total : 23.55% | 0-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.58% Total : 17.41% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
