SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 62.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 15.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Dundalk |
62.17% ( -0) | 22.26% | 15.57% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.72% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.58% ( 0.01) | 51.42% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.77% ( 0.01) | 73.23% ( -0) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.97% ( 0) | 16.03% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.62% ( 0) | 45.38% |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.45% ( 0.01) | 45.55% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.63% ( 0.01) | 81.37% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 13.36% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.23% 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.47% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.42% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 1.06% 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 62.15% | 1-1 @ 10.51% 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.78% ( 0)Other @ 0.66% Total : 22.26% | 0-1 @ 5.74% 1-2 @ 4.13% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.26% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 1.36% Total : 15.57% |
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