SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 36.54%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | Dundalk |
36.54% ( 0) | 27.46% ( -0) | 36.01% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 49.48% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.83% ( 0.01) | 56.17% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.78% ( 0.01) | 77.23% ( -0.01) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( 0.01) | 29.5% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.49% ( 0.01) | 65.51% ( -0.01) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.18% ( 0) | 29.82% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.1% ( 0.01) | 65.9% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.56% 3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.54% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 8.8% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.44% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.01% |
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