Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dundalk | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
37.62% ( -3.93) | 26.71% ( -0.35) | 35.67% ( 4.28) |
Both teams to score 51.84% ( 2.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.8% ( 2.16) | 53.2% ( -2.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.24% ( 1.8) | 74.76% ( -1.8) |
Dundalk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.58% ( -1.16) | 27.42% ( 1.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.1% ( -1.53) | 62.9% ( 1.53) |
Shamrock Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.42% ( 3.89) | 28.58% ( -3.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.63% ( 4.62) | 64.37% ( -4.61) |
Score Analysis |
Dundalk | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.13% ( -1.26) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.36) 2-0 @ 6.56% ( -1.06) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.28) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.57) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.61% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.69) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.74) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.75) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.62) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.54) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.34) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.28) Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.67% |
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