SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 72.86%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 9.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.63%) and 3-0 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Drogheda United |
72.86% ( -0.01) | 17.88% ( 0) | 9.26% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 40.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.96% ( -0) | 48.03% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.8% ( -0) | 70.2% |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.26% ( -0.01) | 11.73% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.12% ( -0) | 36.88% ( 0) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.77% | 54.23% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.59% ( 0) | 87.41% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 2-0 @ 14.6% 1-0 @ 13.63% 3-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 8.94% 3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.59% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.42% 5-0 @ 2.39% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.95% 5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 72.84% | 1-1 @ 8.34% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.36% 2-2 @ 2.74% Other @ 0.43% Total : 17.88% | 0-1 @ 3.89% 1-2 @ 2.55% 0-2 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 1.62% Total : 9.26% |
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