Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galway United would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
