SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Waterford United |
55.13% ( -0.2) | 23.75% ( 0.04) | 21.13% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 51.08% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.58% ( 0.03) | 49.42% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.54% ( 0.02) | 71.46% ( -0.02) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.21% ( -0.06) | 17.79% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.49% ( -0.11) | 48.51% ( 0.12) |
| Waterford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.14% ( 0.18) | 37.86% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.36% ( 0.17) | 74.63% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Waterford United |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.5% Total : 55.12% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.74% | 0-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.58% Total : 21.13% |
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