Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 48.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Longford Town had a probability of 25.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Longford Town win it was 0-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
