Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 44.41%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Longford Town had a probability of 26.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Longford Town win it was 0-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.