Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 49.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 25.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-0 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for St Patrick's Athletic in this match.
