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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 23
Aug 8, 2021 at 3pm UK
Oriel Park
SP

Dundalk
1 - 4
St Patrick's

Hoban (25')
Perth (28'), McMillan (73')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Melvin-Lambert (11'), Smith (41', 79'), Forrester (71' pen.)
Desmond (29'), Smith (57'), Bermingham (66'), McCormack (70')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and St Patrick's Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
DundalkDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
42.64%26.68%30.69%
Both teams to score 50.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.9%54.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.48%75.52%
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88%25.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.17%59.83%
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68%32.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.18%68.82%
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 42.63%
    St Patrick's Athletic 30.69%
    Draw 26.67%
DundalkDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 11.21%
2-1 @ 8.75%
2-0 @ 7.75%
3-1 @ 4.03%
3-0 @ 3.57%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 42.63%
1-1 @ 12.66%
0-0 @ 8.12%
2-2 @ 4.94%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 9.17%
1-2 @ 7.16%
0-2 @ 5.18%
1-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 30.69%

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