Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
