Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
