Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Derry City win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.