Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.62%) and 2-1 (7.52%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (12.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.