Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 52.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.43%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Waterford United win it was 1-0 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.