Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.