Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 16.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.02%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Waterford United win it was 1-0 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.