Shelbourne have a great opportunity to move even closer to the Irish crown, but the visit of Derry will be a massive test on Monday night. The Candystripes were embarrassed on the European stage recently but should be good enough to avoid a damaging defeat at Tolka Park in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 44.33%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 25.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 1-2 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 1-0 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Shelbourne	Draw	Derry City
25.86% ( 0)	29.82%	44.33% ( -0)

Both teams to score 39.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.41%

66.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.01% (

-0)

84.99%

Shelbourne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.87% (

43.13% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.6% (

79.4% (

-0)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.85%

30.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.7% (

-0)

66.3%

Score Analysis

Shelbourne 25.85%

Derry City 44.33%

Draw 29.81%

Shelbourne	Draw	Derry City
1-0 @ 10.93% 2-1 @ 5.51% 2-0 @ 4.6% 3-1 @ 1.55% 3-0 @ 1.29% 3-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.05% Total : 25.85%	1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 13% 2-2 @ 3.31% Other @ 0.39% Total : 29.81%	0-1 @ 15.59% 0-2 @ 9.35% 1-2 @ 7.86% 0-3 @ 3.74% 1-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.28% Total : 44.33%