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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 26
Aug 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Tolka Park
DC

Shelbourne
0 - 0
Derry


Gannon (49'), Martin (51'), Griffin (84')
FT

Todd (11'), Coll (32'), Connolly (35')
Todd (35')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shelbourne 0-0 FC Zurich
Thursday, August 1 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Derry 2-1 Magpies
Thursday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Shelbourne 1-1 Derry City

Shelbourne have a great opportunity to move even closer to the Irish crown, but the visit of Derry will be a massive test on Monday night. The Candystripes were embarrassed on the European stage recently but should be good enough to avoid a damaging defeat at Tolka Park in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 44.33%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 25.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 1-2 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 1-0 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ShelbourneDrawDerry City
25.86% (0.0010000000000012 0) 29.82%44.33% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 39.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.41%66.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.01% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)84.99%
Shelbourne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.87% (0.00099999999999767 0)43.13% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.6% (0.0020000000000024 0)79.4% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85%30.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)66.3%
Score Analysis
    Shelbourne 25.85%
    Derry City 44.33%
    Draw 29.81%
ShelbourneDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 10.93%
2-1 @ 5.51%
2-0 @ 4.6%
3-1 @ 1.55%
3-0 @ 1.29%
3-2 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 25.85%
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 13%
2-2 @ 3.31%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 29.81%
0-1 @ 15.59%
0-2 @ 9.35%
1-2 @ 7.86%
0-3 @ 3.74%
1-3 @ 3.14%
2-3 @ 1.32%
0-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 44.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Shelbourne 0-0 FC Zurich
Thursday, August 1 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: FC Zurich 3-0 Shelbourne
Thursday, July 25 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: St Joseph's 1-1 Shelbourne
Thursday, July 18 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Shelbourne 2-1 St Joseph's
Thursday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Drogheda 1-1 Shelbourne
Thursday, July 4 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 2-0 Galway United
Friday, June 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 2-1 Magpies
Thursday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Magpies 2-0 Derry
Thursday, July 11 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sligo 2-1 Derry
Thursday, July 4 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 5-1 Drogheda
Friday, June 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Bohemians 1-2 Derry
Thursday, June 13 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 2-0 Galway United
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier


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