SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.45%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 1-0 (12.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galway United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Galway United |
32.44% ( 0.29) | 29.82% ( 0.06) | 37.74% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 42.37% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.28% ( -0.16) | 64.71% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.31% ( -0.11) | 83.69% ( 0.11) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.32% ( 0.12) | 36.68% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.53% ( 0.12) | 73.47% ( -0.12) |
| Galway United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.92% ( -0.31) | 33.08% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.32% ( -0.34) | 69.67% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | Galway United |
| 1-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 1.87% Total : 32.43% | 1-1 @ 13.46% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.82% | 0-1 @ 13.42% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.73% |
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