SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 1-0 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shelbourne in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Shelbourne |
30.6% ( 0.04) | 28.37% ( -0.02) | 41.03% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.74% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.66% ( 0.05) | 60.33% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.5% ( 0.04) | 80.49% ( -0.05) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.33% ( 0.06) | 35.66% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.56% ( 0.06) | 72.43% ( -0.06) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.1% ( 0.01) | 28.9% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.23% ( 0.02) | 64.77% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | Shelbourne |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 30.6% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.36% | 0-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.29% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.61% Total : 41.02% |
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