Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 63.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Longford Town had a probability of 14.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.88%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Longford Town win it was 1-0 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.